Data suggests that the Cosmos 2553 satellite, which US officials believe is connected to Moscow's nuclear anti-satellite weapons program, is now spinning uncontrollably. This erratic behavior indicates that the satellite may no longer be operational, potentially hindering Russia's space weapons development efforts, according to analysts.
The secretive Russian satellite, launched shortly before the invasion of Ukraine in 2022, has experienced episodes of spinning over the past year, as observed through Doppler radar data from LeoLabs and optical data from Slingshot Aerospace. This satellite, known as Cosmos 2553, is believed to serve as a radar satellite for intelligence purposes and radiation testing.

The US has accused Russia of developing a nuclear anti-satellite weapon, with Cosmos 2553 playing a role in this alleged program. While Russia denies these claims and insists that the satellite is for research purposes, US analysts remain skeptical.
In a space security race that has intensified in recent years, the US and Russia have been competing for dominance in space, with military technologies playing a crucial role. The Cosmos 2553 satellite orbits at a high altitude above Earth, exposed to cosmic radiation and isolated from other satellites.
Recent observations by LeoLabs and Slingshot indicate that Cosmos 2553 is tumbling uncontrollably, suggesting that it may no longer be operational. The implications of this development on Russia's space activities remain uncertain.
Russia's defence ministry has not commented on the status of the satellite, leaving analysts to speculate about its functionality. The potential loss of Cosmos 2553 could impact Russia's military and intelligence capabilities in space.
As commercial space-tracking services evolve, the ability to monitor satellites in orbit becomes increasingly important for national security. The US Space Command and other military entities prioritize accurate tracking of spacecraft to avoid potential conflicts in space.
Russia's inconsistent explanation for Cosmos 2553's mission, combined with its history of targeting US and allied satellites, raises concerns about misperceptions and escalation in space. The satellite is just one of many Russian satellites with suspected military ties, highlighting the growing militarization of space.